AC Monza vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
43.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
PAL
3 - 1
ASS
65%
24%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
ASS
2 - 0
USF
54%
27%
19%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ASS
70%
21%
9%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
ASS
1 - 2
USC
51%
29%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
PRG
2 - 1
ASS
62%
26%
12%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
ACM
3 - 1
BAR
65%
23%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
CAM
0 - 2
ACM
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
ACM
2 - 1
ARZ
71%
20%
9%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
CAT
1 - 1
ACM
31%
31%
38%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
ACM
2 - 2
SSS
69%
22%
9%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |