AC Monza vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
VIG
1 - 0
ASS
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
ASS
1 - 1
TAR
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
REG
3 - 0
ASS
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1959 |
GEN
2 - 1
ASS
74%
15%
11%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
ACM
1 - 0
ASS
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
MES
1 - 1
BRE
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
MES
2 - 0
VIG
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
ACP
3 - 1
MES
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
ATL
5 - 1
MES
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
MES
0 - 0
CAT
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |