AC Monza vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
TAR
1 - 0
ASS
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
BAR
0 - 1
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
ASS
1 - 0
CAG
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1956 |
USA
0 - 2
ASS
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
VER
1 - 0
ASS
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
VER
1 - 1
MES
60%
22%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
MES
1 - 0
USA
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
MES
0 - 0
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
PAR
2 - 3
MES
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
UDI
3 - 1
MES
78%
15%
8%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |