AC Monza vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
ASS
0 - 0
FAN
61%
20%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
TRE
4 - 0
ASS
61%
20%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
VNZ
2 - 1
ASS
57%
21%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1951 |
ASS
0 - 2
MOD
59%
20%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASS
74%
15%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
MES
1 - 0
MOD
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
MES
0 - 0
GEN
40%
24%
37%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
ACM
0 - 0
MES
57%
21%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1951 |
VER
2 - 0
MES
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
MES
2 - 0
ATP
57%
21%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |