AC Monza vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PIS
1 - 0
ASS
61%
25%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
ASS
3 - 1
PIS
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
PIA
0 - 1
ASS
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
OLB
2 - 1
ASS
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 0
CUN
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
ASL
1 - 1
LIV
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
PON
3 - 2
ASL
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
ASL
1 - 4
SIE
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PIA
1 - 0
ASL
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
OLB
1 - 1
ASL
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |