AC Monza vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASS
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 2
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 2
PRG
28%
30%
43%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1998 |
REG
0 - 2
ASS
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
ASS
3 - 3
ANC
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
NAP
0 - 2
ASL
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
ASL
2 - 2
NAP
22%
24%
54%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
TOR
1 - 0
ASL
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1998 |
ASL
0 - 0
TRE
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
VER
2 - 0
ASL
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |