AC Monza vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
32.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 0
GEN
19%
27%
54%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
USF
5 - 1
ASS
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
ASS
1 - 0
CHI
33%
31%
36%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
CSA
1 - 1
ASS
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
TOR
1 - 0
ASS
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
ASL
2 - 0
USF
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
CHI
3 - 1
ASL
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAL
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
REG
3 - 0
ASL
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
REG
0 - 0
ASL
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |