AC Monza vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
ASS
2 - 1
LAZ
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
TRI
3 - 1
ASS
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
ASS
3 - 0
USA
59%
22%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
ASS
1 - 3
CAG
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
PAD
1 - 1
ASS
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
COM
2 - 2
ASL
60%
20%
19%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
ASL
0 - 0
BRE
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
ASL
0 - 2
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
VER
1 - 0
ASL
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
USA
2 - 1
ASL
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |