AC Monza vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
50.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
ASL
1 - 0
ASS
60%
24%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
ASS
2 - 0
TRE
28%
27%
44%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
ASS
0 - 1
VAR
39%
29%
32%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
ABN
2 - 0
ASS
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
ASS
1 - 2
CAR
48%
27%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
LIV
0 - 1
SPE
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
LEC
0 - 0
LIV
20%
25%
55%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
LIV
4 - 0
ABN
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
ASL
0 - 0
LIV
31%
28%
42%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2002 |
PAD
0 - 2
LIV
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |