AC Monza vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
18%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
TAR
2 - 1
ASS
42%
32%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
ASS
2 - 0
NOV
50%
25%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
MAN
2 - 1
ASS
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
CAT
2 - 0
ASS
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
ACM
1 - 0
ASS
84%
11%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 0
COM
38%
33%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
LIV
2 - 1
USF
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
CAG
3 - 0
LIV
82%
12%
6%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
ARZ
0 - 0
LIV
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 3
FIO
15%
24%
61%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |