AC Monza vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
MAN
0 - 0
ASS
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
TER
1 - 1
ASS
48%
30%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
MAS
1 - 0
ASS
26%
28%
46%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASS
55%
27%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
ASS
0 - 2
BRE
46%
30%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
LIV
1 - 0
MAS
66%
24%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
TER
0 - 1
LIV
51%
29%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 0
MOD
51%
31%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 0
MAN
38%
35%
28%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
BRE
2 - 1
LIV
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |