AC Monza vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
19.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
PAL
3 - 3
ASS
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
GEN
2 - 0
ASS
54%
27%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
ASS
2 - 0
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 1
USF
44%
28%
27%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASS
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
LIV
0 - 3
GEN
45%
30%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
MES
2 - 0
LIV
38%
32%
31%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
FCC
0 - 1
LIV
53%
28%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
LIV
0 - 0
MOD
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
LAZ
0 - 2
LIV
52%
29%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |