AC Monza vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
BRE
0 - 1
ASS
49%
30%
21%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
ASS
1 - 0
USF
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
CAG
0 - 1
ASS
65%
23%
13%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 0
SAM
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
ASS
1 - 1
GEN
56%
27%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 0
CES
46%
30%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
NOC
0 - 0
LEC
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
LEC
0 - 2
PAL
46%
29%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
GEN
1 - 1
LEC
64%
23%
13%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
TER
1 - 0
LEC
50%
30%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |