AC Monza vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
58.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
USC
0 - 0
ASS
43%
31%
26%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 3
TOR
19%
28%
53%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ASS
0 - 0
SAM
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
FCC
2 - 0
ASS
62%
24%
14%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ASS
0 - 0
CAG
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
INT
2 - 1
USF
62%
24%
15%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
GEN
1 - 1
INT
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
INT
4 - 2
ROM
58%
26%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
PES
2 - 1
INT
27%
29%
44%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
JUV
2 - 2
INT
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |