AC Monza vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
52.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
PAD
2 - 1
ASS
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ASS
1 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
RAV
3 - 0
ASS
48%
26%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
ASS
1 - 1
SPE
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
PRO
0 - 0
ASS
37%
28%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 0
ACL
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 0
SPE
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 2
GEN
14%
24%
63%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
GEN
2 - 0
GIU
83%
13%
5%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
PRO
0 - 1
GEN
13%
23%
64%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |