AC Monza vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
GEN
1 - 0
ASS
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
ACL
2 - 2
ASS
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
ASS
1 - 4
EMP
28%
29%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
ATL
2 - 0
ASS
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
ASS
0 - 0
CHI
36%
31%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
GEN
1 - 0
ASS
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
EMP
1 - 1
GEN
49%
24%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
GEN
2 - 1
ACL
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
GEN
3 - 3
VER
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
CES
2 - 2
GEN
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |