AC Monza vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 3
ASS
47%
26%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 3
VBE
84%
11%
6%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ASS
0 - 2
SER
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
ASS
14%
24%
63%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ASS
4 - 1
MAP
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
PIA
13%
21%
66%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PER
3 - 1
FOL
57%
25%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 2
FOL
73%
17%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 3
CIS
34%
24%
42%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 1
INV
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |