AC Monza vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 2
SAS
52%
22%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
ASS
3 - 1
VIS
87%
10%
3%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 0
ALC
87%
10%
3%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 1
PAL
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
ASS
16 - 1
CAM
94%
5%
1%
|
86 | 6 | 80 | 0 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 1
PAL
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PIS
2 - 2
FCS
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FCS
4 - 3
TER
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCS
41%
27%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 0
CTT
44%
29%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |