AC Monza vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
PAG
1 - 2
ASS
38%
27%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
USC
2 - 3
ASS
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ASS
0 - 1
ACL
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 0
ASS
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 1
TRI
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
FCS
0 - 2
SPA
17%
25%
58%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
BV5
4 - 1
FCS
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
COM
0 - 0
FCS
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FCS
1 - 0
BV5
47%
28%
25%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
ACL
1 - 2
FCS
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +1 |