AC Monza vs FC Celano Marsica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
ASS
3 - 0
PRO
50%
27%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
USF
1 - 0
ASS
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ASS
3 - 1
CTT
34%
29%
37%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
VNZ
4 - 1
ASS
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ASS
2 - 3
VER
57%
26%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
FCC
4 - 3
BEN
33%
29%
38%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ASA
2 - 1
FCC
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
FCC
2 - 0
SSS
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ASM
1 - 0
FCC
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
FCC
1 - 1
ASC
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |