AC Monza vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
ASS
2 - 0
CAT
51%
28%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASS
44%
30%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
ASS
0 - 0
LIV
57%
27%
16%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
ASS
1 - 0
CES
59%
24%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1970 |
ASS
2 - 0
REG
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
FCC
4 - 0
TER
34%
30%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
FCC
0 - 0
MAN
35%
35%
31%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
ATL
2 - 0
FCC
62%
25%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCC
52%
28%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
FCC
0 - 2
LIV
44%
33%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |