AC Monza vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
22.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
REG
2 - 0
ASS
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 0
LIV
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
PAL
3 - 3
ASS
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
GEN
2 - 0
ASS
54%
27%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
ASS
2 - 0
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
FCC
1 - 1
REG
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
LEC
1 - 1
FCC
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
VNZ
0 - 0
FCC
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
FCC
0 - 1
LIV
53%
28%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |