AC Monza vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1962 |
REG
0 - 1
ASS
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
BAR
4 - 1
ASS
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1962 |
ASS
2 - 0
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
BRE
0 - 1
ASS
59%
24%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
ASS
0 - 1
NAP
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1962 |
FCC
3 - 0
BAR
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
MOD
3 - 2
FCC
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1962 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FCC
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1962 |
MAN
3 - 0
FCC
70%
16%
14%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
FCC
0 - 0
GEN
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |