AC Monza vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
33%
Draw
0-0
17.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
33%
25.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
SSS
3 - 1
ASS
49%
31%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
ASS
0 - 0
TRI
40%
32%
28%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
PRG
2 - 1
ASS
53%
29%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
VIC
5 - 3
ASS
61%
25%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAL
48%
30%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
EMP
0 - 0
CAM
53%
29%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
ACM
1 - 1
EMP
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 0
BOL
54%
29%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
PAL
1 - 1
EMP
47%
30%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 0
SSS
54%
29%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |