AC Monza vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
VER
0 - 0
ASS
57%
28%
15%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
ASS
0 - 2
GEN
48%
29%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
ASS
0 - 2
SPA
48%
30%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
RIM
0 - 1
ASS
51%
30%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
ASS
0 - 0
PES
51%
28%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
CAT
2 - 0
SPA
40%
32%
28%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAT
65%
23%
13%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
CAT
1 - 1
ATL
54%
31%
15%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
ACM
4 - 1
CAT
73%
19%
8%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
CAT
2 - 2
LAZ
30%
34%
37%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |