AC Monza vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
ASS
3 - 0
PAL
53%
23%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
ASS
2 - 1
CAR
74%
14%
12%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
ASS
1 - 0
SIE
58%
19%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 0
ASS
86%
9%
5%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
COM
2 - 1
ASS
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
CAT
1 - 1
TAR
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAT
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 1
CAT
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 0
NOV
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
CAT
3 - 1
LEC
62%
21%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |