AC Monza vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
ASS
0 - 0
MES
61%
22%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
ASS
0 - 1
TRI
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
TAR
3 - 1
ASS
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
ASS
2 - 0
VNZ
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
CAT
0 - 0
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAT
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
SSS
2 - 0
CAT
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
CAT
1 - 0
MES
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |