AC Monza vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
ASS
2 - 0
MES
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
MOD
2 - 0
ASS
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
ASS
0 - 0
PAD
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
ASS
0 - 0
VIC
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
USA
1 - 0
ASS
54%
23%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
CAT
3 - 1
CAG
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
CAT
0 - 1
FAN
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
SAL
0 - 3
CAT
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
CAT
3 - 0
ACM
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
CAT
1 - 1
COM
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |