AC Monza vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
ASS
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
JUV
1 - 1
ASS
92%
6%
2%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
ASS
3 - 0
PAL
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
ASS
0 - 3
FIO
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
ASS
1 - 1
LEC
46%
31%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
CAS
1 - 1
FIO
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
CAS
0 - 2
PRG
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
JUV
6 - 2
CAS
97%
2%
1%
|
48 | 88 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
CAS
0 - 1
PAL
49%
23%
29%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
ARZ
1 - 0
CAS
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |