AC Monza vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
48%
29%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
ASS
0 - 0
MAN
45%
32%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
FCC
1 - 1
ASS
48%
30%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
ASS
1 - 1
TER
51%
28%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASS
39%
34%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
CAS
3 - 3
TER
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
FCC
1 - 0
CAS
61%
25%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAS
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAS
67%
22%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
CAS
3 - 0
MOD
40%
29%
31%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |