AC Monza vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TER
1 - 1
ASS
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 1
ACL
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SPA
0 - 0
ASS
49%
27%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 0
TAR
29%
31%
40%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 2
ASS
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
USF
1 - 2
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
SOR
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
REG
1 - 1
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 2
CAR
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |