AC Monza vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MAP
0 - 2
ASS
27%
27%
46%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 0
FIO
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 1
ASS
31%
27%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
BUS
78%
14%
9%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PON
1 - 0
ASS
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
PER
29%
28%
43%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CIS
3 - 2
CAR
64%
20%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
PIA
8%
17%
75%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
INV
2 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
FOL
34%
29%
38%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |