AC Monza vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 1
ASS
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 1
RAV
43%
28%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SPE
1 - 0
ASS
45%
28%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ASS
0 - 1
PRO
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASS
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
PAD
0 - 1
ACL
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
PAD
1 - 0
FER
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
RAV
1 - 0
PAD
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
PAD
2 - 2
PIZ
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2006 |
SAL
1 - 1
PAD
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |