AC Monza vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
22.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
USC
4 - 0
ASS
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
ASS
0 - 1
FCC
55%
27%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
COM
1 - 0
ASS
54%
29%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
ASS
0 - 0
ARZ
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
CAV
1 - 0
ASS
43%
31%
26%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
PAD
1 - 0
PRG
53%
26%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
EMP
1 - 1
PAD
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
PAD
1 - 0
PIS
59%
25%
17%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
PAD
1 - 2
USC
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAD
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |