AC Monza vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
20.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
BAR
2 - 0
ASS
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
REG
1 - 0
ASS
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
ASS
1 - 1
LIV
64%
20%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
PRO
1 - 0
ASS
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
ASS
2 - 0
PAR
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
SPA
0 - 0
PAD
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1964 |
PAD
0 - 0
PAR
68%
21%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
REG
0 - 0
PAD
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
PAD
0 - 0
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
PAD
0 - 0
VNZ
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |