AC Monza vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 1
ASS
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
ASS
0 - 0
USA
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
ASS
0 - 0
FAN
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
PRO
0 - 1
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1954 |
BRE
1 - 1
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1954 |
PAD
2 - 2
PRO
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
PAD
2 - 0
ATP
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
CAT
1 - 1
PAD
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
MES
0 - 1
PAD
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
PAD
2 - 0
TRE
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |