AC Monza vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
PAG
0 - 0
ASS
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ASS
4 - 2
TER
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
PRO
1 - 1
ASS
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
ASS
1 - 2
PAD
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
ASS
0 - 0
VNZ
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
VNZ
4 - 0
LEC
58%
25%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
LEC
2 - 1
USF
30%
30%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
PAG
1 - 0
LEC
45%
26%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
LEC
3 - 2
FOL
34%
29%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
LEC
0 - 0
VER
33%
31%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |