AC Monza vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
ASS
1 - 1
TOR
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
VER
1 - 1
ASS
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
ASS
0 - 1
ACM
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
ASS
0 - 1
USA
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
LEC
3 - 2
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
CAT
2 - 2
LEC
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
MES
2 - 1
LEC
48%
25%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
LEC
2 - 1
MOD
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
COM
2 - 1
LEC
57%
20%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |