AC Monza vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
PAR
2 - 3
ASS
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
ASS
1 - 0
NOV
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
ACM
2 - 2
ASS
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
ASS
1 - 1
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
ASS
3 - 1
SSS
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
CAG
0 - 0
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
CAG
0 - 0
TAR
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
NOV
3 - 0
CAG
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
CAG
2 - 0
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
PRO
1 - 2
CAG
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |