AC Monza vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
ACM
1 - 1
ASS
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
ASS
1 - 0
TRE
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
ASS
2 - 1
ATP
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
CAT
2 - 2
ASS
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
MES
0 - 0
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
CAG
1 - 0
VER
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
CAG
3 - 0
PAD
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
TRE
0 - 1
CAG
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
VIC
4 - 1
CAG
45%
24%
30%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
CAG
3 - 1
CAT
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |