AC Monza vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
48%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
51%
28%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
ASS
0 - 0
VIC
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1994 |
FIA
1 - 0
ASS
54%
28%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1994 |
ASS
0 - 1
CES
33%
31%
36%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1994 |
ASS
0 - 1
BAR
26%
29%
45%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
BRE
2 - 1
ACI
84%
12%
4%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
BRE
3 - 1
FIO
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1994 |
ASL
1 - 1
BRE
29%
30%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1994 |
BRE
3 - 1
PES
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1994 |
CES
2 - 5
BRE
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |