AC Monza vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
33%
Draw
0-0
17.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
33%
26%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
ASS
1 - 0
PRG
41%
32%
28%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
MAN
0 - 0
ASS
68%
22%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
ASS
0 - 1
USF
41%
32%
28%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
ASS
3 - 2
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
CES
7 - 0
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEC
70%
21%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
CAT
1 - 1
BRE
46%
32%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
BRE
0 - 1
CES
61%
26%
14%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
BRE
3 - 2
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
TOR
0 - 0
BRE
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |