AC Monza vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
MAN
1 - 1
ASS
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
NOV
0 - 1
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1959 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAT
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
ASS
3 - 1
MES
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
BRE
0 - 0
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 1
BRE
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
BRE
1 - 1
VNZ
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
LEC
2 - 0
BRE
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |