AC Monza vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
SSS
1 - 0
ASS
42%
27%
30%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
NOV
2 - 2
ASS
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1959 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAG
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
ASS
2 - 1
VNZ
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASS
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
BRE
2 - 0
TAR
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
BRE
1 - 2
ATL
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1959 |
ACP
1 - 1
BRE
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
BRE
0 - 0
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
ACM
0 - 1
BRE
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |