AC Monza vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
ASS
2 - 0
MOD
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
USA
2 - 0
ASS
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
ASS
0 - 1
PRO
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
TAR
2 - 0
ASS
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASS
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
CAG
1 - 0
BRE
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
BRE
0 - 1
CAT
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
BRE
2 - 1
MES
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
MOD
0 - 1
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
BRE
1 - 0
NOV
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |