AC Monza vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
VER
4 - 0
ASS
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
COM
4 - 1
ASS
64%
20%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
ASS
3 - 0
SAL
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
PAV
1 - 0
ASS
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
ASS
1 - 0
CAG
42%
24%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
BRE
2 - 0
COM
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
PAV
1 - 1
BRE
45%
25%
29%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1953 |
BRE
1 - 1
PRO
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAD
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
CAT
4 - 1
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |