AC Monza vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
ASS
0 - 1
PIS
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
PIS
2 - 0
ASS
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1990 |
INT
2 - 1
ASS
82%
14%
4%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
ASS
0 - 1
INT
19%
27%
54%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
ASS
2 - 0
PAD
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1992 |
CAS
1 - 0
BOL
35%
31%
34%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
BOL
1 - 1
ANC
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
VNZ
1 - 0
BOL
44%
29%
28%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
BOL
0 - 0
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
LEC
1 - 0
BOL
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |