AC Monza vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
EMP
0 - 1
ASS
50%
29%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
ASS
0 - 1
SSS
53%
29%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
TRI
1 - 0
ASS
57%
27%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
ASS
1 - 0
PRG
49%
30%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
ASS
0 - 1
VIC
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
BOL
1 - 0
USC
53%
28%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
VIC
3 - 2
BOL
58%
27%
15%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
BOL
1 - 1
EMP
52%
28%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
BOL
1 - 0
LAZ
49%
29%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
PES
2 - 1
BOL
59%
26%
15%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |