AC Monza vs Carbonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.1%
12.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
ASS
1 - 0
SIE
58%
19%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 0
ASS
86%
9%
5%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
COM
2 - 1
ASS
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
ASS
1 - 3
INT
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
ASS
1 - 4
ACM
29%
22%
49%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Carbonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAG
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
SPE
2 - 3
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 59 | 32 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
CAR
0 - 2
SIE
26%
23%
52%
|
27 | 62 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
ACP
3 - 1
CAR
83%
11%
6%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
CAR
2 - 4
FIO
18%
21%
62%
|
27 | 85 | 58 | 0 |