AC Monza vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1977 |
VAR
2 - 1
ASS
50%
29%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 1
TAR
59%
27%
14%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
AVE
2 - 1
ASS
43%
31%
26%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 0
TER
57%
27%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 0
PAL
57%
27%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1977 |
CAT
1 - 1
ASC
38%
32%
29%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
ASC
3 - 1
AVE
56%
28%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
ASC
1 - 0
VAR
47%
29%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
BRE
0 - 0
ASC
51%
27%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
ASC
0 - 0
ATL
49%
31%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |